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Weather Outlooks

Severe weather, drought, and upper-air analysis

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center · Updated ~4× daily

Day 1 Outlook

Valid next 24 hours

NOAA / SPC
SPC day1 convective outlook

Categorical risk areas: TSTM → Marginal → Slight → Enhanced → Moderate → High. Colors indicate the probability and severity of organized severe thunderstorms.

500mb Heights / Jet Stream

Weather Prediction Center · Updated ~4× daily

5-Day 500mb Forecast

Upper-air pattern — contours show geopotential height, arrows indicate flow

NOAA / WPC
5-day 500mb geopotential height forecast

The 500mb level (~18,000 ft) represents the mid-troposphere. Troughs (dips) favor storm development; ridges (bumps) bring dry, settled weather.

US Drought Monitor

University of Nebraska / USDA / NOAA · Updated every Tuesday

Current Drought Conditions

Valid 2026-03-17

USDM
US Drought Monitor map

D0 = Abnormally Dry · D1 = Moderate · D2 = Severe · D3 = Extreme · D4 = Exceptional

Data: NOAA Storm Prediction Center · NOAA Weather Prediction Center · US Drought Monitor